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THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
If you have not yet had a chance to read Part 1, then you can find it here: http://wheeliedealer.weebly.com/blog/primary-health-properties-php-buy-rationale-part-1-of-2 Valuation At the time of writing this Blog the Mid Price in the Market is 114p - I will use this Number for the purposes of this Valuation Section but of course in practice the numbers change as the Price moves up and down. Normally when I write these ‘Stock Buy Rationale’ Blogs I tend to use the actual Buy Price that I paid and that is obviously logical and relevant. However, in this case I am so late in getting the Blog published that I think it might be more useful for Readers if I use a Price closer to the prevailing Price at this point in time. Having said that my Buy Price was about 112p so it is not wildly different anyway.
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THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
If you have been keeping on top of my rare and infrequent Trades this year, then you might have spotted that I recently sold out entirely of my Holding in Sainsburys SBRY which I had held primarily in my Income Portfolio but I also had a Long Spreadbet on it which I sold earlier (you can see all details of my Trades on the ‘Trades’ page, funnily enough). The idea behind my Income Portfolio is that it is really intended to be Low Risk, Low Activity and Low Return - but what I mean by that is by targeting a Blended Dividend Yield for the Portfolio of 5% and with a little bit of Capital Gain each Year I hope to get about 7% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate). If you skip over to my ‘Portfolios’ page you will see at the top a full list of the Stocks in my Income Portfolio at the moment.
I’m always totally thrown by these Clock Changes - I spend most of the day with no idea what time it is and all of the Clocks in WheelieTowers seem to tell me different things - and the confusion isn’t helped by some updating automatically whereas others don’t - hopefully in a few days I will have figured out what is going on !!
One upshot of this is that some ‘normality’ is being returned with regards to the US Markets and what time they Open and Close - in theory they should Open at 2.30pm BST and Close at 9pm. After the drops on Friday maybe it would be better if they just stayed shut !! Last Week Blimey, that was a painful one - after being nicely in positive territory for 2018 so far I got a right kicking last week and my Portfolio ended up down 3.5% on the Week and this means that I am now down 2% on my Portfolio for 2018 - not a situation I like at all. The hit last week was exacerbated particularly by Sprue Aegis SPRP coming out with the News on Friday that BRK has terminated their Agreement early and that SPRP could get stuck with some Stock - there is a lack of clarity on the impact but it whacked the Stock hard and it is a big Position for me. Annoying, but I am not going to panic as the move to new Suppliers is the key to a much improved performance for SPRP but it is frustrating that yet another hurdle has been placed in their way.
THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
This is ‘officially’ the second part of a small Blog Series but in fact an Additional Blog got produced which you can find here along with the first Blog: http://wheeliedealer.weebly.com/blog/eu-supply-eusp-buy-rationale-part-1-of-2 http://wheeliedealer.weebly.com/blog/eu-supply-eusp-response-to-comments-from-andrew-latto Recent Trading EUSP put out a Trading Update on the 25th January which you can read here (although I have put most of it just below anyway !!): https://www.eu-supply.com/Content/Brochures/RNS_Trading%20Update%20and%20Directorate%20Change_20180125.pdf This Update was pretty decent and they said Full Year Results for 2017 would be in line with Expectations and it was following this that I bought my Position. This bit below shows how fast the Revenue is growing and how 2/3 is Recurring Revenue which is growing strongly as well:
THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
First off big THANKS to Andrew for taking the time to write these comments - it is extremely useful because he has asked some very sensible and valid questions and made some important points and as a Holder he clearly understands where he has parked some of his dosh. You can follow Andrew on Twitter at @LTGrowthStocks. I recently bought a small Position in EUSP and as time goes on and I understand the business more and more I might add to this Position, Andrew’s thoughts are helpful for me to assess the Business and to build my knowledge.
I don’t know how long this Blog will be because I spent all of Saturday at the Master Investor show and today we had the start of the 2018 MotoGP Season with the races from Qatar so I am feeling quite worn out and have square eyes from looking at screens !!
There are a few things I want to cover before looking at some Index Charts and the main thing being the upshots of a long chat I had with Richard Wolanski, the CFO of Avation AVAP, at the Show (I hold Shares in AVAP).
THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
I first started to notice EU Supply (TIDM Code - EUSP) when I saw @MGInvestor on Twitter had bought into them a while back and I find he is excellent at finding very small companies that have growth potential but are actually real businesses rather than the usual Loss-making Speculative rubbish that kicks around in the dark and dismal corners of the AIM Market and is best given an extremely wide berth.
THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
I had the great good fortune of being able to attend the Shares Magazine ‘Growth and Innovation’ Forum at the Business Design Centre in Islington (same venue as Master Investor) on Tuesday 30th January and as always I was very focused with regards to which Companies I spoke to and I spent the majority of my time there meeting up with some truly top quality Investors that I talk to regularly in the Virtual Twitterworld etc. but sadly get rare opportunity to speak to in ‘The Real World‘. I always approach Shows in this way - to me the Value is in knowing well beforehand which Companies you want to meet with and doing at least a small amount of Research so that you have a fair understanding and are able to quiz the Personnel on the Stand with relevant and meaningful questions. I then make sure I spend a lot of time with them and explore all areas of the Business to get a full understanding and it is a very efficient use of time. This means I can get a lot more out of my discussions but also I find that the People exhibiting are much more friendly and open to talk in a relaxed manner because they actually appreciate someone who goes a level deeper and isn’t just a fresh face who has presented themselves in front of their Stand and wants the Company People to trot out the same old Introduction and Blurb over and over again, before picking up a Free Pen and a Brochure. I feel for these guys because in my murky past I have done a fair bit of Exhibition Stand work and it can be soul destroying sometimes - especially when Punters ask you the most stupid Questions or worse still tell the Directors how to run the Business !!!
THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
This is the second and final Part of my Blogs on Hostelworld HSW - you should be able to find Part 1 just under this one on my Blog page but because I am so super kind to you peeps, here is a Link to it: http://wheeliedealer.weebly.com/blog/stock-idea-hostelworld-group-hsw-part-1-of-2
THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY. I HAVE A LARGE PORTFOLIO AND I USE DIVERSIFICATION TO SPREAD RISK ALONG WITH TRICKS LIKE HEDGING AND OCCASIONALLY BY THE USE OF STOPLOSSES - IF YOU BUY ANY STOCK YOU REALLY SHOULD FOCUS ON HOW IT FITS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO AND KEEP RISK MANAGEMENT AT THE FOREFRONT OF EVERYTHING YOU DO. BE AWARE THAT ALL INVESTORS/TRADERS GET THINGS WRONG AND MANY STOCK SELECTIONS WILL WORK OUT BADLY.
Regular Readers of the twaddle I put out may have spotted that I am very attracted to Online Businesses both in the direct retailing of stuff but also in terms of Booking things and all that. I do not hold Hostelworld HSW but I recently bought On The Beach OTB Shares who specialise in Beach Holidays and although Travel/Tourism is not a Sector I usually like, there is something about HSW that is really giving me its Siren Call - I suspect the chunky Dividend Yield backed by Cash is also winking hard at me and another factor which struck me is just how dominant HSW seem to be in enabling Hostels to find Customers and get bookings from them. |
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