WheelieDealer Share trading diary blog with Portfolio and Education
  • Home
  • Trades
  • Educational Blogs
  • Wheelie's Bookshop
  • M3 Manifesto
  • Portfolios
  • WheelieBin / WheelieWatchlist
  • Non-Finance Books
  • Beginners
  • Monthly Performance
Picture

educational blogs

Devro DVO - is there Dosh in Sausage Condoms?

30/9/2016

6 Comments

 
Tweet
THIS IS NOT A TIP OR RECOMMENDATION. I AM NOT A TIPSTER. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER ON THE HOME PAGE OF MY WEBSITE. IF YOU COPY MY TRADES, YOU WILL PROBABLY LOSE MONEY.

Devro DVO is a stock I have invested in before and I note that it has put out some weak results over the last year or so and has got quite beaten up - it is at 3 year Lows so maybe there is Value here and I quite like the idea of having something that is food related (they do Skins for Sausages) in my Portfolio as I don’t really have any exposure here.

From a quick glance the usual Investment Ratios like Forward P/E and Divvy Yield etc. look ok, but the big stand out is the Debt - this has shot up in the last year and obviously creates some sort of Risk if it is not manageable. From what I understand, much of the problems (and the High Debt) stem from delays in getting a new Chinese Factory up and running - my hunch is that maybe once the Factory is on stream, Costs will drop and we will see Debt start to fall quickly - if so, then the extra Capacity could give DVO a lot of new Growth Potential and I suspect the Market is totally missing this important point.



Read More
6 Comments

An Unprecedented President? A look at Indexes, Oil, Gold

25/9/2016

0 Comments

 
Tweet
The big event next week is on Monday (tomorrow at the time of writing) and is the first of the TV Debates for the US Presidential Race between Mrs Clinton and Mr Trump. Of course it is very difficult to predict accurately what will happen in both the Presidential Race and the Market’s reaction to it. My current view is that the Markets are expecting a Clinton win and she is the Wall Street Candidate and I suspect a large amount of Bias is making Traders quite blind to the fact that Trump has closed up in the Polls hugely since Clinton’s confirmation as the Democrat Candidate. Trump seems to be capitalising on seeming more ‘normal’ than the usual run of the mill Politicians - his utter lack of Politically Correct language and behaviour is his major attraction to Voters who are sick of the Washington Elites.


Read More
0 Comments

Guest Blog - James @traderdiarycouk Introduction and Approach to Short Term Trading

20/9/2016

6 Comments

 
Tweet
One of my mates from Twitter, James @traderdiarycouk, has written the following piece to introduce himself back to the world and give a simple explanation of how he does his Short Term Trading stuff - he is very good at it and even Long Term Investors can learn a lot from the kind of methods successful Traders use.

James used to run his own website as you can see from the text, but time constraints forced him to stop doing it on a regular basis but he still likes putting Fingers to Keyboard and bashing out some thoughts - I hope we will get more stuff from him for the WD Website in coming months. If you follow him on Twitter then you can see the Trades he does and get a better feel for his approach.

Many thanks to James for providing this input and I hope Readers find it useful and interesting.

Cheers, WD.



Read More
6 Comments

That Tumbleweed Feeling - a Look at Indexes, Oil, Gold

17/9/2016

0 Comments

 
Tweet
I am meeting up with a small group of Investing mates tomorrow in the PUB and won’t have any time to look at the Charts, so it’s Saturday Night Chart Fever again. It sort of feels a bit eerie at the moment - Autumn is nearly always a difficult time for Markets and September particularly so, and there is a real sense of Lull before the Storm. I guess if we are Bullish and optimistic then the Storm might be a huge rise in Share Prices - but after the strong rises since the Brexit Vote and with Donnie Trumpo about to become the Pres, it seems a huge stretch to really think a Rally is on the cards.


Read More
0 Comments

Valuation, Valuation, Valuation - Bursting for a P/E - Part 4 of 4

16/9/2016

0 Comments

 
Tweet
Other ways to Value Companies/Stocks
There are a few other ways to value Stocks but probably the only one I use a lot is the ‘Discount to NAV’ approach. I have very rarely used the Price to Sales Ratio (PSR) but I just don’t see any need to over complicate things although many people do seem to use some incredibly complex approaches.

Discount to Net Asset Value (NAV)
This is an extremely useful and important method and regular Readers (it’s that All Bran again) may have seen me use such an approach with my Buy Rationale Blogs on Quintain Estates QED and Avation AVAP (there are links to these Blogs at the end of this one). I will try and explain this in simple terms - in essence we take the Net Asset Value (NAV) of the Company and compare this to the Market Capitalisation and really we want to see a decent Discount - in other words, the Market Cap needs to be a fair bit less than the NAV. 



Read More
0 Comments

Peering over the Edge - A look at Indexes, Oil, Gold

11/9/2016

0 Comments

 
Tweet
After the big kick in the goolies that European and US Indexes received on Friday it really looks like we might be at the start of some sort of Pullback in the Bull Run that has been rampant since the Brexit Vote. I hope the Charts can enlighten us a bit more with regard to whether or not this is ‘The Big One’ and with September being notorious for being the worst month, a fairly overvalued Market and a US Presidential Election where both Candidates aspire to being mediocre, it seems highly likely that this is the time to break out the Tin Helmets.

I have Big Shorts on the FTSE100 and Nasdaq 100 as well as a small bit of Cash - so I feel quite well positioned if we do get a Drop.




Read More
0 Comments

Valuation, Valuation, Valuation - Bursting for a P/E - Part 3 of 4

10/9/2016

0 Comments

 
Tweet
Trading with regard to P/E Ratios
As I mentioned earlier in the Blog Series, I ideally want to be buying Stocks which are Priced in the Market on a Forward P/E that I think is lower than what it really should be and where the Market has misunderstood a Growth Story or perhaps Oversold a Stock with Problems and not given the appropriate ‘Value’ in terms of P/E Ratio - often with the latter a Company has been in trouble but is in the early stages of a Recovery and the Market has not yet woken up to the improvements. Another great example comes about from IPOs (Initial Public Offerings) - I quite often find that Stocks that are new to the Market are on a lower P/E than they should be - and this creates a wonderful opportunity as the Market wakes up to the Story and gets to know the Stock - I want to be in before the Herd (I have written about this recently in a separate IPOs Blog - I will put a link at the end of this Blog Series).



Read More
0 Comments

Autumn is Officially here - a look at Indexes, Oil, Gold

3/9/2016

0 Comments

 
Tweet
I am bashing this out on Saturday night rather than the more usual Sunday because tomorrow I am off to the MotoGP at Silverstone and dead excited about the potential for the British Riders after Cal Crutchlow gave us the first British win in the Premier Class for 35 years (since the Legendary Barry Sheene) at the last race in the Czech Republic. No doubt the weather will be entirely unpredictable but with luck it will be dry as Silverstone can be a chilly, windswept, place if the conditions are poor and it isn’t the best place to spectate when it’s like that. But of course changeable conditions make for exciting races - which you can usually catch on Monday Night on ITV4 at 8pm.

As usual I will look at the Historic backdrop, which will no doubt be pretty ugly as September has a bad reputation, and I will look at the Major Indexes that matter - I am really interested to see how things stand after that huge jump up on the FTSE100 yesterday - is it a sign of more to come or simply a Last Gasp rush of the Bulls? The inconsistency here is that the US doesn’t seem to have followed suit.



Read More
0 Comments

    'Educational' WheelieBlogs

    Welcome to my Educational Blog Page - I have another 'Stocks & Markets' Blog Page which you can access via a Button on the top of the Homepage.

    I hope you find the Entries here thought provoking and valuable. There is a sizeable Archive starting to build - use the Filters below to take the full benefit. If you have just Landed on this Page, feel free to have a poke around at the rest of my Website (s)....WD

    Blog Index List  now sits on the WD2 Website - click the Button below:


    BLOG INDEX LIST

    Archives

    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014

    Categories

    All
    Accounting
    Beginners
    Bonds
    Book Reviews
    Business Information
    Commodities
    Conference Reports
    Danger
    Events
    FOREX
    Fundamental Analysis
    Funds
    Getting Started With Stocks
    Guest Blogs
    Hedging
    Income Portfolios
    Information Sources
    Interviews
    Investment Strategy
    IPO
    Macroeconomics
    Manifesto For Making Money
    Market History
    Market Structure
    Non-Finance Books
    Peer 2 Peer Lending
    Politics
    Portfolio Management
    Psychology
    Retirement/Freedom
    Scores On The Doors
    Selling Rationale
    Short Term Trading
    Social Media
    Spreadbetting
    Stock Buy Rationale
    Stock Ideas
    Technical Analysis
    Templates
    Tools And Techniques
    Trades
    Trading Products
    WD Messages
    Week Ahead Indexes


    Please see the Full Range of Book Ideas in Wheelie's Bookshop.

Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.
  • Home
  • Trades
  • Educational Blogs
  • Wheelie's Bookshop
  • M3 Manifesto
  • Portfolios
  • WheelieBin / WheelieWatchlist
  • Non-Finance Books
  • Beginners
  • Monthly Performance