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How to use Leverage Safely and Successfully - Spreadbetting and CFDs Part 1 of 5

11/2/2015

7 Comments

 
Introduction
I suspect this will be a Blog that gets read a fair bit - hopefully it will unravel the mysteries of using Leverage like Spreadbetting but will also show Readers how I exploit the Advantages of Leverage and minimise the Dangers - which are considerable.

I had been loathe to do too much on Leverage on my website previously as I didn’t feel I should encourage 'Newbies' too much as they could get in a right flippin' mess. In the event, I reluctantly ended up shoving Robbie Burn's Spreadbet book in Wheelie's Bookshop as I thought it would be better if Readers had at least a little understanding because I get quite a few people asking me about it. Quite scary really because I think the conventional approach to Spreadbetting is extremely dangerous and the ‘teaching’ from the product providers encourages what I consider to be methods that are guaranteed to lose you money.
Anyway, I now take the view that it is not my Role to wipe Reader’s butts - that is why you purchase Andrex (ok, Tesco Value, you skinflint - but I appreciate you are trying to minimise costs so you can invest more). In addition, using Spreadbets to gain Leverage is a Key Element of my M3 Manifesto - so it makes sense for me to explain how I do it Safely and Successfully (for the majority of the time anyway !!)

Probably the most important realisation I want you to take away from this Blog is the following:

Spreadbetting and CFD providers will teach you the WRONG and DANGEROUS way to use Leverage.

I will explain this fully in the coming text. As you probably are beginning to expect, The WheelieDealer has very unusual ways of doing things and I suspect you have never read anything like this before.

Advantages of Leverage
  • Use of ‘Free’ money to make you more money - hurrah, we like that !! Clap, clap, clap……..
  • Use of ‘Other People’s Money’ - if you have read ‘Rich Dad, Poor Dad’, you will get the concept of OPM. You do it with a Mortgage, so why not do it with Stocks?
  • Can give a useful boost to your Annual Returns. If you can make 10% on a normal Share Portfolio, then a bit of controlled Leverage could add maybe another 3% or so. Compounded over time this makes a massive difference to your wealth. From the ‘Law of 72’ (see my Blog from October 2014), compounded at 10% it will take 7 years to double your Capital - at 13% compounded it only takes 5.5 years.
  • Enables you to keep a Cash Pile parked to one side in a Bank Account which can be used for other Emergencies if needed.

Disadvantages of Leverage
It is incredibly Dangerous. If you want to go Bankrupt, then using Leverage is the easy way to do it. It will not be fun either. Quick and Miserable - sure fire route to the Poor House.

I cannot stress this enough. It is F***** DANGEROUS (a nod to @A1Mhigh there who I know loves US style blogsters). You will get your arse kicked hard. Best to stay away really.

God (or David Icke) knows why I do it.

The other Danger is that you might actually be good at it. This will result in you making money and getting more wealthy. People will hate you, your Wife or Husband will take advantage, your Kids will demand more crap, you will have to trade in the car you love for something Flashy and German, you will have to get Gold Metal Gates. 

Yuk, who wants all that silliness?

What Instruments can be used to get Leverage?
I mainly use Spreadbets but I do have a CFD account with CityIndex. Options just confuse me although I think they have a good aspect in that you can only lose a defined amount of money. Very specialist area and to be honest I don’t see the point of them - you can get the same attributes via Spreadbets (you could use Guaranteed Stoplosses to limit your possible loss) and you get the benefits of no Tax. In addition, using my method, dealing in Spreadbets is hardly any different to dealing in Normal Shares - you don’t need to understand the Black-Scholes Options Pricing Model to figure out value - you do it already on your Normal Shares.

The following techniques can be used to exploit the Benefits of Leverage:
  • Spreadbetting
  • CFDs
  • Options
  • Warrants (similar to Options I think)
  • Margin Account - this is a Share Dealing Account where you can borrow money at pre-defined terms. Very common in the US I think. Not sure how many people use them over here in the UK - pretty rare I suspect.
  • ETFs - some Exchange Traded Funds have a Leverage element in them - for example, XUK2 enables you to get twice the movement of the FTSE100 on the Short side. Very dangerous instruments though - suitable for only short periods like a few days due to the way that they are mathematically calculated on a Daily Rollover.

Spreadbetting
Spreadbets enable you to make or lose money on a wide variety of Instruments - pretty much anything you can name - Indexes, Individual Stocks, Commodities, Bonds, House Prices, etc. and many non-financial things like General Election outcomes, football matches, horses, etc.

Seeing as we are really concerned with Shares, the explanations here really apply to equities. Whereas if you buy a chunk of Normal Shares, you own a stake in a Company, if you use a Spreadbet to get the same Financial Exposure, you do not get any stake in the underlying Company - you are just ‘betting’ on a price movement.

As I mentioned earlier, you get the wonderful advantage (and horrendous risk !!) of Leverage. To open a Spreadbet Position, you need to put down a Deposit (sometimes called Margin, or Collateral, or Security or something like this) but the rest of the Exposure is lent to you by the Spreadbet provider.

I think an example is needed. Imagine you want to buy a Stock which is priced at 250p to Buy in the normal market. If you buy 1000 shares, this will cost you £2500 (let’s ignore Stamp Duty and Commission fees etc. to keep things simple and let‘s also ignore Sell, Mid, Buy prices).

Alternatively, you could buy a Spreadbet in the Company to get the same Exposure where you would bet £10 A POINT, which would mean £10 x 250p = £2500.

However, with the Spreadbet let’s imagine the Deposit (Margin) is 10% - this means you only need to put down 10% of the Exposure - which is £250.

Now, let’s imagine that your buy has turned out nicely and the Share Price goes up by 10%. For your normal Shares, you will gain £250 on the £2500 that you spent on the shares - a 10% Return.

With the Spreadbet, you would get £250 profit on the £250 you put down as Deposit - a return of 100%. So the advantage is obvious, but of course it works the other way as well, i.e. If the price drops, you lose big.

The clever term is that use of Leverage is more ‘Capital Efficient’ - i.e. You are making the most of your limited Capital.

With Spreadbets you can also go Short, where you make money if the price falls. This is also done on ‘margin’ so is Leveraged.

There are some aspects of Charges to understand as follows:
  • The Spreadbetting Provider makes money from charging a wider ‘Spread’ between Buy and Sell prices than in the underlying market. For instance, a stock could be 101p to Buy in the real world and 99p to Sell. But for a similar Spreadbet, it could be 102p to Buy and 98p to Sell - so the Spread is wider which costs you money.
  • However, despite the above, there is no Commission Fee or Dealing Fee like there is on Normal Shares. Also, there is no Stamp Duty. So, in practice, the costs work out very similar.
  • On Long Spreadbet Positions (where you have bought a Spreadbet), you have to pay Interest on the borrowed part of your Exposure. For a ‘Quarterly Bet’ which has a defined 3 month lifespan, the Interest Fee is included in the Spread. For a ‘Daily Funded Bet’ or similar, you are charged LIBOR plus 2 or 3% (I think that is the igIndex charging structure, I suspect it varies across the Providers and is something you need to be sure of) and your Cash Balance gets deducted this amount at the end of each day. Because of these Interest Charges, I suspect that my Approach would struggle if Interest Rates are very high - but I have been mucking about with Spreadbets in this way for about 8 years and never had this problem. In reality, if Interest Rates went this high, then Equities would be bad investments anyway - good time to Short !!
  • For Short Positions (where you Sell an Instrument) you have to pay a ‘Lending Fee’ with igIndex - this is a new thing and a pain really. I do not know if other Spreadbet providers charge the same. I must say that since they introduced it I am far less interested in Shorting.
  • If you are Long a certain Share, on the Ex Div date you will receive the Dividend Payment - i.e. you get it much earlier than with a Normal Share. This applies to Daily Funded Bets (DFBs or Daily Rolling Bets), for Quarterly Spreadbets, the Dividend is already allowed for in the Spread. Just for info, Quarterly Bets can be done at different periods - I think it’s like ‘expire end March’, ‘expire end June’, ‘expire end Sept’, ‘expire end Dec’ - to be honest I never use them so not really that bothered !!
  • If you are Short a Share or Index etc., you will PAY the Dividend - it is subtracted from your Cash Balance for DFBs and for Quarterly Bets it is in the Spread when you open the bet.
  • As the value of your Bet rises or falls, the Margin is automatically adjusted so that it always stays at a set level of the Exposure. For instance, in the above Example, if the Price went up 20% and the Exposure grew to £3000 the corresponding Margin would still be 10%, which is £300 rather than the £250 you started off with. For information, what would happen here is that your ‘Margin’ total on your Account (let’s assume you just have this one Spreadbet open) would go up to £300 and the ‘Cash Balance’ (or ‘Cash Available’ etc.) would grow by £450. This is why your Cash just balloons fast when the Markets go your way but this Cash can evaporate like a bullet in tough Markets which go against you.

I use igIndex because they have the widest range of Stocks to place bets on and they are the Market Leader by a long way and have a superb range of interfaces on PC, Fone, Tablet etc. I nearly always access via my 10” Tablet with Android App or on my Fone. Lovely interface and simple to use - has graphs but they are a bit limited really - ok, for a quick check. I find the PC interface a bit ‘busy’ but I know many people like it. I suspect it is more geared to Day Traders who are on it all the time like busy banshee bee things.

I am not really 100% clear on this, but my understanding is that Spreadbet Companies ‘Hedge’ the Bets on their platforms by matching Buys with Sells. For example, if Bill Buys a Spreadbet of £10 a Point on Vodafone and Charlie Sells a Spreadbet of £10 a Point on Vodafone - then the 2 effectively cancel each other out - so the Spreadbet Company has no Risk itself from the trades, and just makes its ‘cut’ on the wide spreads.

OK, that is simplistic. In reality, the bets vary in sizes and the prices paid change all the time (don’t we know it !!). However, the complex computers they use do this matching in Real Time and I believe that where there is an inability to match (imagine they get a Buy bet that doesn’t have a Sell bet to match against), then the Spreadbet Provider can automatically go into the Underlying Market for Normal Shares and take a Position to offset the Risk in the Spreadbet that was placed. It’s complex stuff and you don’t really need to know it but when you hear that the Spreadbetting Provider is betting against you, this is nonsense - the large, reputable, companies do not do this.

For more details on how Spreadbets work, pop over to igIndex’s Website and / or pick up a copy of Robbie Burn’s ‘The Naked Trader’s Guide to Spreadbetting’ from Wheelie’s Bookshop www.wheeliedealer2.weebly.com.

Part 2 will go into CFDs and the important of calculating Exposure and managing it. I expect to issue this in a couple of days - gives us all time to recover…….wd
7 Comments
Philip Sloan
27/9/2015 08:50:29 pm

Hi WD
I mentioned on another of your blogposts that I'd only recently stumbled across your website and as a fellow FT Investor/Trader with less experience than yourself, was intrigued by your use of spreadbet accounts (mirroring) and intended to read and absorb your series on spreadbetting, as it was something I wanted to incorporate in my plan going forward.

I've dabbled with spreads in the past, but not with any real purpose or plan. I simply used them as a method to buy stocks already held in an ISA on any dip using LT support as entry levels and trying to make a quick trading profit on the subsequent bounce. All good, as long as they don't break through support; if they do, then I've just doubled the trouble! :-)

Anyway, having now read your superb series (you could develop this into a book!?) I've decided its an area I need to focus more on, particularly as I'm still at an early stage in my development and my funds and income generated are still fairly limited. The use of leverage therefore appeals immensely though I take on board your warning about it being F!£$%*^%g dangerous ! :-) I'm a cautious investor by nature, but do feel that your mirroring strategy, tweaked to suit my personal circumstances, could make a significant difference to my annual income, without necessarily risking too much more. In fact, I now realise I've under-utilised this resource and intend to add more funds to my spreadbet accounts over the coming months.

So, over the past fortnight, with the FTSE falling, I've started buying positions for the long term (I figure buying quality dividend paying stocks when the FTSE is around the 6K mark, should provide me with a reasonable long-term entry position, though I am hoping we get further falls to say 5500, when I'd be very happy to load up some more!). As you warned, I'm only taking small positions initially, while I get accustomed to how the accounts swing in value, but do have one or two early observations/comments (point 1 might even be of interest to yourself):

1) Dividends on Quarterlies - I've discovered that despite what's widely reported on the net, Quarterly positions do receive dividends and are paid into your balance as cash in exactly the same way as DFB's. I know this for a fact, because I held several quarterly positions last year (as part of my old swing/position trading method) and was surprised to see on checking my account history that dividends had been paid into my cash balance on a couple of those trading positions. I decided to double-check this by ringing up IG's CS last week, who confirmed that this is indeed the case. I've not checked if this is specific to IG (they're market leaders, so it could be), but I intend to check it out with City Index too (based on their prices I suspect it is the same). The great thing about this is that you avoid the daily interest charges which seem pretty expensive (not sure about IG, but City Index charge Libor + 2.5%, apparently.) I presume this would be particularly helpful once interest rates start to rise.

2) Auto-Rollovers - The use of auto-rollover means you can also hold the Quarterly position indefinitely too, so perfect for creating a long-term mirroring portfolio and could save significantly on daily interest charges (an interest charge is apparently baked into the spread, but its small be comparison to DFB's).

3) Difference in Margin can vary significantly from one account to another, on one stock to another, so may be worth running a couple of accounts to maximise your buying power (useful if your finances are limited, as mine are!). Eg. Saga, margin at IG is 25%, at City Index its just 7.5%!

4) Some great ideas in your posts - I intend to transfer some shares into an IG Share dealing account to use as collateral and extra protection against any sudden hike in margins on the back of a market crash. Love the idea of trading IPO's on the grey mkt - definitely something to watch out for (Worldpay is coming to market soon, which could be interesting) and its a great idea to use Spreadbets to buy foreign stocks, without the currency risk or need for W-8Bens'.

5) The flash crash got me thinking, if I'd set limit orders on certain stocks at say 10% below recent lows I might have got lucky and got a cheeky fill, without even having to monitor the markets. Diageo for instance fell between 5-10% and then came back all in the space of 4 mins. A quick and easy gain on a stock I'd be happy to hold for the long term anyway. I intend to do this for around half a dozen big FTSE 100 stocks and possibly even a couple of US ones.

6) After your experience of the recent Black Monday event, where you mentioned the need to top up your cash balances, I'd be interested to hear what you now think is a safe cash : exposure ratio? I'm going along the basis of around 1: 2.5 ie every £5k cash, buys me exposure of c. £12.5K. In light of recent events, do you think this is about right, or am I still be

Reply
WheelieDealer
28/9/2015 09:59:44 pm

Hi Phil - thanks to you for taking the time to write your comments - it's very inspiring and helpful to get feedback and it helps lots of other Readers as your comments give a lot more perspective and colour to the Blogs I bash out.
It sounds like your previous dabbling placing Spreadbets against Stocks you already hold is heading in the same direction as I use with my Mirroring. It is probably 'just' a case of building a Portfolio of such Positions.
Funnily enough I have thought about a book - I suspect we are some years away from that though and in reality all the stuff is on the Website so people just need to dig around a bit.
You seem to recognise the Risks and the key bit I cannot stress too much is the Exposure Level - you seem to get this which is great - it's too much Exposure that really kills.
Your comments on Quarterly Bets and Divvys are a huge surprise - I didn't think this was the case but you have checked it out. I suspect though that the Interest Charges on the Daily Funded Bets and the Interest Charges on the Quarterlies probably are the same or only slightly different (remember the Int Charge is in the spread on the Quarterly).
What you say on Rollovers makes sense - I know with IGindex you need to set a Global Rollover field in the Account Settings menu or something.
You are right about the Margin Rates - huge difference between providers. I only use IGindex these days - the higher Margin Rates are sort of offset by the wide range of Stocks you can trade - some are very limiited. I think CoreSpreads has a good range also.
I like the idea of using Stocks as collateral - I just need to get around to it !!
I think it is worth being very careful about trying to 'pick the bottom' on things - seems like a lot of stocks are just 'falling Knives' at the moment and you might have noticed that I am very inactive at present. I would rather buy things after they have put in nice solid Bottoms with several tests of Support and are moving back up again - it tends to be safer. I am more likely to Short the FTSE100 at the moment than to buy anything.
I think your Ratio of £5k Cash to £12.5k of Exposure sounds ok if you are sticking to Quality Stocks - if you stray into dodgy stuff like Miners etc. then it may be too high a Ratio. If not sure, drop it to £5k to £10k - it might be safer.

It's worth thinking about Shorting as well - I think such Hedging activity is really useful at reducing the Risk inherent in running a Mirrored Spreadbet Portfolio - no doubt I will be Shorting if I see the FTSE100 drop below 5768 in a decisive manner.

I tried to find you on Twitter but wasn't sure if it was you. If you are not on Twitter, you might find it helpful - I have been amazed at how helpful it is and we have a good gang of people on their regularly interacting - come and join the Tweet Party ;-)

Thanks again for your inputs, WD

Reply
Phil Sloan
1/10/2015 05:17:48 pm

Hi again WD

As I said before, It should be me that's thanking you for the work you've shared! Really feel it'll give my income a shot in the arm, and its enabled me to develop a structured plan for my spreadbetting rather than just taking trades on a whim. Felt the least I could do therefore was share some of my findings once I started working on my own plan.

Thanks for the confirmation on the ratio of cash: exposure. I'm a pretty cautious investor/trader by nature, especially now I'm doing this for a living, so hopefully I've taken onboard the risks involved. The last thing I want to do is blow it all and be forced back to the daily grind of a 9-5! lol I generally go for established 'quality' companies, with histories of dividend & eps growth and strong cashflow, alongside some asset-backed high income payers such eg as SQN, ESP, AGR and RECI etc. These generally have very little correlation to the gen. mkt and are more akin to FI, providing a nice balance (as in the current mkts even the large cap qualities' aren't immune). The downside is they tend to eat up margin, so its a bit of a balancing act.

Despite the general consensus on quarterlies not receiving dividends, I can now 100% confirm they do, as I received my first dividend payments (in cash, into my account balances) from both IG and City Index this morning. Regarding interest payments, as you say there's probably not much in it between DFB's and quarterlies, but from what I've read (if that can still be believed!) quarterlies do work out cheaper if you intend to hold for much more than about 3 weeks, I think, so would think they probably do make sense if you're holding for the longer-term? For me its also a bit of a psychological thing, I don't like to log on every day and see those interest charges nibbling away at my account ! lol.

Re: rollovers - apparently IG set a new higher futures price, but give you a discount on the spread that they charge, effectively reducing the interest charges you pay the longer you hold, I guess? Again, not yet seen how this works out, but will keep you posted...One more thing on quarterlies, of the 3 spread accounts I have IG offer positions up to 9 months, City Index offer 3 and 6 months, whilst ETX only seem to offer DFB's.

Another benefit of mirroring that struck me this morning, was that it can help smooth out your income, in that the spread accounts pay on the ex-divi date rather than having to wait for the actual pay date (which can often be weeks/months later).

Bottom-picking's definitely a bad habit of mIne lol ! But as I'm trying to mirror and build a LT spread portfolio, I'm primarily interested in buying at a price I feel offers decent long term value. Even that's not easy at the moment, so I'm dipping my toes with small positions on down days and only buying when something shouts out at me.

Shorting the FTSE's definitely something I need to incorporate, can see how it could be a huge benefit to an otherwise all-long portfolio. Always felt it a bit counter-productive in the past, but need to start thinking of it more as an insurance policy, I guess!? A break of the August 24th low is an obvious entry point, so I may well be joining you should it break!

Thanks again and all the best
Phil

PS. I do have a twitter account, but I've never really used it - I'm a bit of an IT thickie! Will look into it and hopefully catch up with you on there soon.

Phil Sloan
27/9/2015 08:54:29 pm

sorry, chopped the last bit of my post off !



...being a bit of a 'scaredy cat'?!

Sorry my posts become so long-winded, but after all the obvious time and effort you've put into writing this series, I felt the least I could was share some of my thoughts and observations, however naive they may be.

So thanks again, its been a huge help to me and all being well should provide a significant boost to my annual income going forward.

Best regards
Phil Sloan

Reply
WheelieDealer
3/10/2015 12:25:51 am

Hi Phil, I'm more than happy to soak up your appreciation and compliments - although I do like you shoving such good and valuable Comments onto the Blogs - the more the merrier and all that.
Great to hear it has helped you structure and plan your approach to Spreadbetting - it is pretty clear to me that this lack of structure is where most spreadbetters screw up.
You clearly get the importance of Exposure and Cash backing and it is vital to stick to Quality Companies. If you do ever get tempted to buy something a bit more 'junky', then maybe a Stoploss would help or at least keep the Relative Exposure low.
Thanks for the clarifications on Quarterly Bets - I see your logic with regard to the constant drip drip of Finance Charges. Interesting thoughts about the Exdiv Cash Flows also.
I try to avoid Bottom Picking in the main - although I do it sometimes when it means Divvy's are so high. Preferably I will wait for the Stock to get out of a Downtrend and start at least moving Sideways. Preferably I would enter when the Stock is back in an Uptrend. I would rather be late into the Trade than to run the Risk of further falls cos it's in a Downtrend.
No doubt I will be Shorting if I feel the need - keep popping into the Website and it should be clear what I am doing.
I could probably compete with you for the ultimate IT Thicko - luckily with the modern world of Apps and suchlike Twitter is dead easy to use and I fully recommend it. Failing that, look at my Feed on the Homepages of both WD websites.
Cheers, WD.

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